2018 Market Review: The Story So Far
25th April 2018
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You may be thinking of moving, or more likely, you are just interested to know if the value of your property has gone up or down. It can be really difficult to guage what is happening with property values, some estate agents are always talking up the market, and the media is generally extremely negative and apocalyptic about the housing market around Surrey and London.
Let us cut out the rhetoric and the “sales spiel” and get down to some undeniable cold hard facts!
For most of us, it feels like 2008 was only yesterday, the recession hit and transaction levels went through the floor. As an example, the KT10 postcode area (Esher, Claygate, Hinchley Wood) dropped from over 400 annual transactions to just 184. Since then transactions have increased until the most recent peak in 2013 of 446 total transactions. There has been a steady decline in the number of transactions since then, and in 2017 the Land Registry recorded 354 transactions across Esher, Claygate and Hinchley Wood. The level of transactions has declined by 21% since the most recent peak in 2013, but has increased by 4% over the last year. Hardly a disaster story and by contrast to 2008 levels, a very healthy market place indeed.
A similar story applies to areas like Molesey and Thames Ditton, with transaction levels down 21% over a similar period, and still way above 2008 levels.There really is no comparison to the 2008 recession that has been quoted by some of the more dramatic media sources. To sum up, we are not at the “height” of a market trend but we predict prices to remain where they are for the next 2-3 years with modest fluctuations of around 5% +/- throughout this period.
So you know transaction levels are still high, just not as high as they’ve been before, and we know what we’re all really interested in… The value of property!
Last year property values across Molesey, Esher, Claygate, Hinchley Wood and Thames Ditton slipped slightly, with the lower end of the market dipping around 5% and the £1m + market dipping by 7% or more. This was purely down to affordability issues and scepticism from would be buyers. As a company, we experienced a market where buyers wanted to buy with interest rates at an all-time low, but sellers were still hoping for record breaking prices creating a gap that either the seller, or the buyer needed to fill. As the consumer dictates the price of a product by demand, this quickly formed a “buyers’ market” mentality, but once asking prices were adjusted, there were plenty of buyers for every property as they jumped at the chance to secure a reasonably priced home.
Since the beginning of 2018, house values have increased across all of the areas we cover: KT10 by 5%, KT8 by 3.14% and KT7 by 5.43%, this shows that the adjustment in asking prices last year from the majority of sellers created more competition from buyers and therefore, persuaded buyers to part with (or borrow) more cash to purchase their next home.
What we are still seeing is an extremely price sensitive marketplace, overestimating your property’s value or listing with an agent purely because they provided you with a surprisingly high and intoxicating valuation, can cost you in the long run. Where properties remain on the market for longer than expected, buyers will assume you are desperate to sell and we have in extreme cases, received offers 15% below asking price. This will hinder your chances of getting market value and will make it nearly impossible for your agent to negotiate the best possible price for your property. Correct asking price = hordes of buyers = multiple offers = best price AND best position to proceed.
If you are thinking of selling, look at the sold history in your area on either Rightmove, Zoopla or Land Registry, asking prices are not always, what a property will sell for. Check how long a property has been on the market for, ask yourself why it hasn’t sold if it has been on the market for months. Get multiple valuations from agents who have a good record of accomplishment in your area, listen to the facts and evidence rather than just listening to what you hope to hear. In an age where “fake news” has penetrated the majority of information sources, only the facts and evidence that you can verify matter, and that is all a buyer will consider – unless they fall in love with your property and have to submit a sealed bid because there are multiple interested parties! They are more likely to consult their mortgage broker than sold data at that stage!
If you are thinking of selling, would like clear advice on the value of your home and the best marketing strategy to adopt when and if you decide to sell, please call our sales team on either 0208 396 6717 or 01372 631 622 for more information. Alternatively, you can book a FREE valuation by clicking the link below.
Newton Huxley are Estate and Letting Agents covering the areas of Molesey, Esher and Thames Ditton.
To find out more about your local market :
Please feel free to call: 020 8396 6717